A new poll by a Taiwanese think tank shows Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Taipei mayoral candidate Puma Shen leading Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Chiang Wan-an by 4.1 percentage points ahead of the upcoming nine-in-one local elections.
According to Liberty Times Net and Newtalk News, the poll released by Taiwan Brain Trust on Sunday (15 November) put support for Shen at 46.3%, compared with 42.2% for Chiang, who is seeking re-election as mayor.
By area, Shen led Chiang by 46.2% to 33.9% in Da’an and Wenshan, challenging their image as traditional KMT strongholds. Chiang led Shen by 51.6% to 40.8% in Songshan and Xinyi.
A breakdown by gender showed Shen winning 47.8% support among male voters, compared with Chiang’s 41.1%. Among female voters, Shen had 45.0% support and Chiang 43.1%.
By age, Chiang led Shen by 46.8% to 41.5% among voters aged 20 to 39. Among those aged 40 and above, however, Shen led Chiang by 48.2% to 40.8%.
Asked who they expected to win, 46.9% of respondents chose Shen, while 40.8% chose Chiang.
The poll was funded by the Ketagalan Foundation and conducted by Trend Poll. It surveyed members of the public aged 20 and above with household registration in Taipei through evening landline telephone interviews from 10 to 12 November. It collected 1,071 valid responses and had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.99 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.
